Hybrid Preventive Maintenance Optimization in Converter Furnaces: A Simulation and Fuzzy TOPSIS Approach(Case Study: Sarcheshmeh Copper Complex Smelting Plant)
Keywords:
Preventive maintenance; Reliability analysis; Simulation modeling; Fuzzy TOPSIS; Multi-criteria decision-making; Converter furnaces; Industrial optimizationAbstract
The objective of this study was to optimize preventive maintenance strategies for converter furnaces by integrating simulation modeling with fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making to identify the most reliable and cost-effective configuration. This research employed an applied design combining discrete-event simulation in AnyLogic with fuzzy TOPSIS analysis. Four operational scenarios (A1–A4) were developed to represent different configurations of local and imported refractory bricks in converter furnaces. Simulation models captured operational cycles, downtime, repair overlaps, and production outputs under stochastic failure conditions. The fuzzy TOPSIS method was then applied to rank scenarios based on multiple weighted criteria, including reliability, cost efficiency, and compliance with the operational constraint of maintaining three active furnaces at all times. Data inputs included historical operational records, repair times, and expert evaluations expressed as fuzzy triangular numbers. The simulation results revealed that hybrid configurations outperformed fully local or fully imported setups by reducing repair overlaps and maintaining production continuity. Fuzzy TOPSIS analysis ranked A2 as the most effective scenario with the highest closeness coefficient (0.953), followed by A4 (0.812) and A3 (0.711), while A1 performed least effectively (0.691). These inferential findings confirm that selective integration of local and imported resources enhances both reliability and cost optimization. The study concludes that hybrid preventive maintenance strategies, supported by simulation modeling and fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making, offer superior outcomes in complex industrial environments.
References
Amaitik, N., Buckingham, C., Zhang, M., & Xu, Y. (2024). A Fuzzy Synthesis Approach for Hierarchical Decision Analysis to Select Optimum Repair Technique.
Amelian, S. S. (2025). Dynamic stochastic job shop scheduling problem with random machine failures using discrete event simulation and design of experiments. Journal of Applied Research on Industrial Engineering, 12(2), 234-245. https://www.journal-aprie.com/article_212308.html
Bafandegan Emroozi, V., Kazemi, M., Doostparast, M., & Pooya, A. (2024). Improving industrial maintenance efficiency: A holistic approach to integrated production and maintenance planning with human error optimization. Process Integration and Optimization for Sustainability, 8(2), 539-564. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41660-023-00374-3
Belagoune, S., Zervoudakis, K., Baadji, B., Karim, A., & Bali, N. (2025). Reliability-based preventive maintenance scheduling in power generation systems: A lévy flight and chaotic local search-based discrete mayfly algorithm. Computers and Electrical Engineering, 121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compeleceng.2024.109904
Cahyati, S., Puspa, S. D., Himawan, R., Agtirey, N. R., & Leo, J. A. (2024). Optimization of preventive maintenance on critical machines at the Sabiz 1 plant using Reliability-Centered Maintenance method. Sinergi (Indonesia), 28(2), 355-368. https://doi.org/10.22441/sinergi.2024.2.015
Cha, J. H., & Finkelstein, M. (2024). Preventive maintenance for the constrained multi-attempt minimal repair. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109899
Chen, W., Li, M., Pei, T., Sun, C., & Lei, H. (2024). Reliability-based model for incomplete preventive replacement maintenance of photovoltaic power systems. Energy Engineering: Journal of the Association of Energy Engineers, 121(1), 125. https://doi.org/10.32604/ee.2023.042812
Corrotea, H., Portales, H., Amigo, L., Gatica, G., Troncoso-Palacio, A., Mondragón, D., & Ramos, M. (2024). Maintenance process analysis in a port cargo company through discrete event simulation.
David, C. E., Uche, R., Nwufo, O., Ekpechi, D. A., & Kingsley, C. C. (2024). Integrating machine availability and preventive maintenance to improve productive efficiency in a manufacturing industry. Asian J. Curr. Res, 9(2), 91-109. https://doi.org/10.56557/ajocr/2024/v9i28610
Dharma lingam, M., Mahapatra, G. S., Georgise, F. B., & Deb, M. (2024). Comparative Ranking Preferences Decision Analysis through a Novel Fuzzy TOPSIS Technique for Vehicle Selection. Wiley Research. https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/6812801
Dong, Q., & Bai, M. (2024). Reliability analysis and preventive maintenance policy for consecutive k k‐out‐of‐n: F n:F balanced system under failure criterion operating in shock environment. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 40(7), 3965-3987. https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3612
Erhueh, O. V., Nwakile, C., Akano, O. A., Aderamo, A. T., & Hanson, E. (2024). Advanced maintenance strategies for energy infrastructure: Lessons for optimizing rotating machinery. Global Journal of Research in Science and Technology, 2(02), 065-093. https://doi.org/10.58175/gjrst.2024.2.2.0073
Gámiz, M. L., & L, N. (2023). Hidden Markov models in reliability and maintenance. European Journal of Operational Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2022.05.006
Garbatov, Y., & Georgiev, P. (2024). Markovian Maintenance Planning of Ship Propulsion System Accounting for CII and System Degradation. Energies. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17164123
Ghosh, A., & Abawajy, J. (2025). Optimising concreting equipment operations in India: An artificial intelligence and reliability-based approach. Expert Systems with Applications, 271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2025.126672
Hasan, A. E., & Jaber, F. K. (2024). Prioritizing road maintenance: a framework integrating fuzzy best-worst method and vikor for multi-criteria decision making. Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, 14(3), 13990-13997. https://doi.org/10.48084/etasr.7056
Kaewbumrung, M., Plengsa-Ard, C., Pansang, S., & Palasai, W. (2024). Preventive maintenance of horizontal wind turbines via computational fluid dynamics-driven wall shear stress evaluation. Results in Engineering, 22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2024.102383
Khamaj, A., Ali, A. M., & Saminathan, R. (2024). Human factors engineering simulated analysis in administrative, operational and maintenance loops of nuclear reactor control unit using artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques. Heliyon, 10(10). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30866
Kiki, M., & Wang, S. (2025). Optimizing maintenance strategies for electrical and mechanical equipment in pvc manufacturing: A machine learning and simulation framework. International Journal of Professional Business Review: Int. J. Prof. Bus. Rev., 10(3), 8. https://doi.org/10.26668/businessreview/2025.v10i3.5399
Kopiika, N., Blikharskyy, Y., Selejdak, J., Khmil, R., & Blikharskyy, Z. (2025). Reliability-based analysis and residual life forecasting for corrosion-affected RC structures. Structures. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2025.108965
Li, J., Hu, L., Wang, Y., & Kang, J. (2024). Reliability analysis and optimization design of a repairable k-out-of-n retrial system with two failure modes and preventive maintenance. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 53(15), 5524-5552. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2023.2222317
Liang, R., Li, R., Yan, X., Xue, Z., & Wei, X. (2023). Evaluating and selecting the supplier in prefabricated megaprojects using extended fuzzy TOPSIS under hesitant environment: a case study from China. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-09-2021-0793
Micosky, A. L., dos Santos, C. F., de Freitas Rocha Loures, E., & Santos, E. A. P. (2024). Integrated Approach of Fuzzy TOPSIS and Process Mining to Enhance Predictive Maintenance in the Automotive Industry.
Simion, D., Partene, C., Cotorcea, A., Nicolae, F., & Postolache, F. (2025). USE OF SIMULATION FOR TRAINING AND IMPROVING SHIPS MAINTENANCE PERFORMANCE.
Singla, S., Mangla, D., Panwar, P., & Taj, S. (2024). Reliability optimization of a degraded system under preventive maintenance using genetic algorithm. Journal of Mechanics of Continua and Mathematical Sciences, 19(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.26782/jmcms.2024.01.00001
Singla, S., Mangla, D., & Rani, S. (2025). MATHEMATIC SIMULATION OF SERIES CONFIGURED SYSTEM UNDER PREVENTIVE AND CORRECTIVE MAINTENANCE USING PSO. Reliability: Theory & Applications, 20(2 (84)), 715-726. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/mathematic-simulation-of-series-configured-system-under-preventive-and-corrective-maintenance-using-pso
Sur, W. A. A., & Machfiroh, I. S. (2024). Mathematical analysis of ROC-TOPSIS method for prioritizing road repair decisions. AXIOM: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Matematika, 13(2), 219-230. https://doi.org/10.30821/axiom.v13i2.21860
West, J., Siddhpura, M., Evangelista, A., & Haddad, A. (2024). Improving equipment maintenance-switching from corrective to preventative maintenance strategies. Buildings, 14(11), 3581. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings14113581
Wu, C., Pan, R., Zhao, X., & Wang, X. (2024). Designing preventive maintenance for multi-state systems with performance sharing. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 241. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109661
Yasin, T. (2025). RELIABILITY-BASED PREDICTABLE MAINTENANCE OF THE 2800 GT CONTAINER SHIP FUEL SYSTEM. International Journal of Marine Engineering and Applications, 2(1), 1-11. https://doi.org/10.30649/ijmea.v2i1.383
Ye, X., Cai, J., Tang, L. C., Ye, Z. S., & Zadeh, E. K. (2024). Statistical modeling of the effectiveness of preventive maintenance for repairable systems Resiliency and Agility in Preventive and Corrective Maintenance by Optimization Approach. Technometrics, 6(2), 76-87. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00401706.2023.2241523
Zhao, Y., Xuan, S., Wang, Y., Li, Y., & Yao, X. (2025). Reliability-based multi-objective optimization design of composite patch repair structure using artificial neural networks. Composite Structures, 352, 118692. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compstruct.2024.118692
Downloads
Published
Submitted
Revised
Accepted
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Saad Abdi, Ali Bozorgi Amiri, Mohammad Sheikhalishahi, Seyed Mojtaba Sajadi (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

